Prediction Accuracy

MartialBot's pre-fight picks, scored live against boxing results from the last 30 days. Every bout below shows the pick the model published before the fight.

Result accuracy

75.0%

24 of 32 picks called the winner

Fights scored

across 12 events · 1 draw/NC not scored

Picks by confidence

One mark per pick at the favorite's predicted win probability — misses stack on top.

hitmiss

50%60708090100%

Picks by event

Newest first, predicted bouts in card order. The model's pick is in bold — bold on the left means it called the winner.

hit miss not scored (draw/NC)

Taylor vs. Pili

Sep 5 · 2/2

Katie Taylor def. Flora PiliUD · 76.17%

Paddy Donovan def. Tyrone McKennaTKO R4 · 94.42%

Ruiz Jr. vs. Knyba

Sep 4 · 1/3

Vito Mielnicki Jr. def. Austin WilliamsUD · 50.36%

Eridson Garcia def. Alan ChavesUD · 84.21%

Damian Knyba def. Andy Ruiz Jr.UD · 50.23%

Perez vs. Mchunu

Sep 3 · 2/2

Jhon Orobio def. Antonio MoranTKO R4 · 95.39%

Lenar Perez def. Thabiso MchunuTKO R8 · 83.50%

Lara vs. Ornelas

Aug 29 · 1/1

Mauricio Lara def. Carlos OrnelasTKO R2 · 85.86%

Itauma vs. Hrgović

Aug 29 · 2/4

Filip Hrgović def. Moses ItaumaTKO R9 · 87.24%

Nelson Hysa def. Thomas NarmoTKO R2 · 76.09%

Sam Noakes def. Denys BerinchykUD · 82.86%

Constantin Ursu def. Ben VaughanTKO R8 · 66.44%

Martinez vs. Plantic

Aug 29 · 3/5

Lester Martinez def. Luka PlanticTKO R10 · 52.02%

Najee Lopez def. Juan CarrilloTKO R9 · 58.09%

Jordan White def. Luis Torres ValenzuelaTKO R8 · 50.46%

Carlos Ocampo def. Weljon MindoroTKO R9 · 86.07%

Ramon Cardenas def. Leonardo CarrilloSD · 67.94%

Cameron vs. Mayer

Aug 29 · 4/5

Chantelle Cameron def. Mikaela MayerUD · 72.02%

Caroline Dubois def. Amelia MooreUD · 89.39%

Terri Harper def. Miranda ReyesTKO R2 · 53.66%

Reina Tellez def. Jessica BarryPTS · 60.77%

Hamza Uddin def. Jemsi KibazangeTKO R2 · 95.87%

Tszyu vs. Mahoney

Aug 26 · 1/1

Nikita Tszyu vs Ben Mahoney · Draw75.39%

Callum Peters def. Blake WellsTKO R8 · 85.21%

Liddard vs. Morello

Aug 22 · 1/1

George Liddard def. Dario MorelloRTD R8 · 80.87%

Romero vs. Lopez

Aug 22 · 3/4

Teófimo López def. Rolando RomeroMD · 91.80%

Carlos Utria def. Israel MercadoSD · 80.95%

Yoenlis Hernández def. Francisco Daniel VerónMD · 71.86%

Gary Antonio Russell def. Victor SantillanUD · 57.16%

Shields vs. Scott

Aug 15 · 2/2

Claressa Shields def. Kaye ScottTKO R6 · 96.47%

Atif Oberlton def. Roamer Alexis AnguloUD · 93.93%

Teremoana vs. Savage

Aug 12 · 2/2

Michael Zerafa def. Alejandro OrtizTKO R8 · 53.59%

Teremoana Teremoana def. DeAndre SavageKO R2 · 84.81%

Calibration

Favorite win rate by predicted probability. Tick = expected rate; bar width tracks bucket size.

0255075100

50%

100%

75%

82%

50–60%

n=8

60–70%

n=3

70–80%

n=4

80–100%

n=17