Prediction Accuracy

MartialBot's pre-fight picks, scored live against boxing results from the last 30 days. Every bout below shows the pick the model published before the fight.

Result accuracy

82.1%

23 of 28 picks called the winner

Fights scored

across 10 events · 1 draw/NC not scored

Picks by confidence

One mark per pick at the favorite's predicted win probability — misses stack on top.

hitmiss

50%60708090100%

Picks by event

Newest first, predicted bouts in card order. The model's pick is in bold — bold on the left means it called the winner.

hit miss not scored (draw/NC)

Tszyu vs. Mahoney

Aug 26 · 1/1

Nikita Tszyu vs Ben Mahoney · Draw76%

Callum Peters def. Blake WellsTKO R8 · 85%

Liddard vs. Morello

Aug 22 · 1/1

George Liddard def. Dario MorelloRTD R8 · 81%

Romero vs. Lopez

Aug 22 · 3/4

Teófimo López def. Rolando RomeroMD · 92%

Carlos Utria def. Israel MercadoSD · 81%

Yoenlis Hernández def. Francisco Daniel VerónMD · 72%

Gary Antonio Russell def. Victor SantillanUD · 57%

Shields vs. Scott

Aug 15 · 2/2

Claressa Shields def. Kaye ScottTKO R6 · 96%

Atif Oberlton def. Roamer Alexis AnguloUD · 94%

Teremoana vs. Savage

Aug 12 · 2/2

Michael Zerafa def. Alejandro OrtizTKO R8 · 54%

Teremoana Teremoana def. DeAndre SavageKO R2 · 85%

McKenna vs. Oliha

Aug 8 · 3/4

Aaron McKenna def. Etinosa OlihaUD · 53%

Callum Walsh def. Tyler DennyUD · 97%

Connor Coyle def. Mark BeukeUD · 61%

Stephen McKenna def. Owen O'NeillTKO R1 · 80%

Nyika vs. Masson

Aug 8 · 1/1

David Nyika def. Floyd MassonUD · 54%

Williamson vs. Simpson 2

Aug 8 · 1/2

Callum Simpson def. Troy WilliamsonUD · 55%

Gradus Kraus def. Sean HemphillTKO R1 · 88%

Roach Jr. vs. Zepeda

Aug 1 · 6/6

Raymond Muratalla def. Robson ConceiçãoUD · 89%

William Zepeda def. Lamont Roach Jr.UD · 86%

Raúl Curiel def. Quinton RandallMD · 73%

Joel Iriarte def. Jorge LagunasTKO R8 · 93%

Charles Conwell def. Paul KrollTKO R9 · 76%

Gael Cabrera def. Francisco Pedroza PortilloUD · 94%

O'Leary vs. Chamberlain

Aug 1 · 3/5

Royston Barney-Smith def. Reece BellottiUD · 97%

Mark Chamberlain def. Pierce O'LearyTKO R10 · 50%

Steven Cairns def. Senan KellyTKO R5 · 65%

Gary Cully def. Lee ReevesKO R10 · 61%

Seán McComb def. Miguel Cesario AntinPTS · 96%

Calibration

Favorite win rate by predicted probability. Tick = expected rate; bar width tracks bucket size.

0255075100

33%

67%

100%

50–60%

n=6

60–70%

n=3

70–80%

n=4

80–100%

n=15