Prediction Accuracy

MartialBot's pre-fight picks, scored live against MMA results from the last 30 days. Every bout below shows the pick the model published before the fight.

Result accuracy

67.9%

36 of 53 picks called the winner

Fights scored

across 7 events

Picks by confidence

One mark per pick at the favorite's predicted win probability — misses stack on top.

hitmiss

50%60708090100%

Picks by event

Newest first, predicted bouts in card order. The model's pick is in bold — bold on the left means it called the winner.

hit miss not scored (draw/NC)

PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira

Aug 22 · 4/5

Cris Cyborg def. Ketlen VieiraUD · 61%

Gadzhi Rabadanov def. Tracy ReederTKO R1 · 67%

Sabrinna de Sousa def. Taila SantosUD · 55%

Daniel Marcos def. Magomed MagomedovTKO R3 · 78%

Dakota Bush def. Morquez ForestUD · 58%

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Aug 22 · 5/11

Gregory Rodrigues def. Anthony HernandezUD · 62%

Vitor Petrino def. Serghei SpivacUD · 67%

Reinier de Ridder def. Roman DolidzeTKO R1 · 57%

MarQuel Mederos def. Mason JonesTKO R2 · 59%

Carli Judice def. Jeisla ChavesTKO R1 · 53%

Jamall Emmers def. Lerryan DouglasTKO R1 · 53%

Shamil Gaziev def. Kennedy NzechukwuKO R1 · 65%

Chris Padilla def. Nasrat HaqparastCKO R3 · 52%

Stanley Dorsainvil def. Gauge YoungUD · 60%

Jackson McVey def. Wes SchultzTKO R1 · 64%

Shanelle Dyer def. Elise ReedTKO R3 · 77%

UFC 330

Aug 15 · 6/12

Islam Makhachev def. Ian Machado GarryUD · 75%

Mackenzie Dern def. Gillian RobertsonUD · 67%

Jalin Turner def. Kauê FernandesKO R1 · 50%

Dustin Stoltzfus def. Mansur Abdul-MalikSUB R2 · 69%

Esteban Ribovics def. Edson BarbozaTKO R2 · 71%

Chidi Njokuani def. Joel ÁlvarezUD · 80%

Charles Johnson def. Eduardo HenriqueSUB R3 · 56%

Donte Johnson def. Eric McConico Jr.KO R1 · 79%

Tresean Gore def. Vicente LuqueUD · 59%

Lucas Fernando def. Rafael TobiasTKO R3 · 54%

Neil Magny def. Ramiz BrahimajTKO R2 · 69%

Jeremiah Wells def. Myktybek OrolbaiCKO R3 · 77%

UFC Fight Night 284

Aug 8 · 6/7

Quillan Salkilld def. Mateusz GamrotSUB R1 · 58%

Carlos Diego Ferreira def. Billy QuarantilloUD · 56%

Yadier del Valle def. Darren ElkinsTKO R1 · 71%

Alexia Thainara def. Amanda LemosUD · 72%

Ty Miller def. Billy Ray GoffTKO R3 · 74%

José Luiz def. Louie SutherlandSUB R1 · 56%

Miles Johns def. Gianni VázquezTKO R1 · 60%

PFL Charlotte: Battle vs. Rosta

Aug 7 · 4/5

Bryan Battle def. Dalton RostaUD · 69%

Simeon Powell def. Dovletdzhan YagshimuradovUD · 67%

Lewis McGrillen def. Brandon LewisUD · 64%

Denis Goltsov def. Hasan MezhievTKO R1 · 56%

Bruno Cappelozza def. Valentin MoldavskyUD · 64%

UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez

Aug 1 · 6/8

Uroš Medić def. Daniel RodriguezTKO R1 · 50%

Navajo Stirling def. Jan BłachowiczTKO R1 · 71%

Aleksandar Rakić def. Marcin TyburaUD · 61%

Robert Valentin def. Duško TodorovićSUB R1 · 51%

Noah Gugnon def. Miloš JaničićSUB R1 · 52%

Tofiq Musayev def. Ľudovít KleinTKO R2 · 69%

Michael Oliveira def. Oban ElliottTKO R1 · 65%

Mateusz Rębecki def. Kyle PrepolecTKO R1 · 69%

PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan

Jul 31 · 5/5

Usman Nurmagomedov def. Archie ColganKO R1 · 79%

Dakota Ditcheva def. Denise KielholtzUD · 78%

Amru Magomedov def. Angel AlvarezTKO R2 · 66%

Lázaro Dayron def. Raufeon StotsUD · 66%

Tatiana Postarnakova def. Montana De La RosaUD · 62%

Calibration

Favorite win rate by predicted probability. Tick = expected rate; bar width tracks bucket size.

0255075100

58%

67%

92%

50–60%

n=19

60–70%

n=21

70–80%

n=12

80–100%

n=1