On October 14, 2024, Kosei Tanaka (20-1, 11 KOs), the super-flyweight WBO champion, defends his title against South African challenger, Phumelele Cafu (10-0-3, 8 KOs).
Kosei Tanaka is coming in to the fight on a 5-fight win streak with a 52% KO rate; his last fight was a unanimous decision win over Christian Bacasegua Rangel, 7 months and 20 days ago. Phumelele Cafu is on a 6-fight win streak with a 61% KO rate, with his last fight being a 1st round KO win over Enathi Stelle, 9 months and 28 days ago.
Although the odds are slightly in favor of Kosei Tanaka at 53.3-46.7, it would be fair to consider this a 50-50 fight. Tanaka has a slightly better chance of winning, but Cafu could also certainly pull it off.