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Márquez vs. Vázquez: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Rafael Márquez challenges Israel Vázquez' (Magnifico) WBC and The Ring super-bantamweight belts. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

31
Sep 14, 1995
36-3
8
32 (82.1%)
166 cm
173 cm
7 cm
Orthodox
Aug 5, 2006
6m, 26d
15
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
29
Mar 29, 1995
41-3
6
30 (68.2%)
164 cm
169 cm
5 cm
Orthodox
Sep 16, 2006
5m, 15d
9
IBF
BT
w1
d7
WBCIBFTheRing
sBT
w1
d2
sBT
w1
d2
sBT
w1
d2
super-bantamweight
Saturday, 3 Mar 2007
Home Depot Center, Carson, California, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-05-08
Rafael Márquez vs. Israel Vázquez I

Date

This fight between Rafael Márquez and Israel Vázquez took place on at the Home Depot Center, Carson, California, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 166 cm, Rafael Márquez is the taller of the two by 2 cms; Israel Vázquez is 164 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 173 cm, Márquez also has reach advantage of 4 cms over Vázquez' 169 cm. On top of that, Márquez also has a 2 cm ape index advantage over Vázquez.

Márquez is coming in to this fight with a record of 36-3 (32 KOs). His last fight was 6 months and 26 days ago against Silence Mabuza, which he won via 9th round RTD.

Vázquez comes in with a record of 41-3 (30 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 15 days ago against Jhonny González, which he won via 10th round TKO.

Jhonny González' boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Márquez will be 31 years and 11 months old. Vázquez will be 29 years and 2 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Israel Vázquez. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Márquez vs Vázquez.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Israel Vázquez may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Márquez stops Vázquez early.

Result

Rafael Márquez defeated Israel Vázquez via 7th round RTD. Vázquez' 9 fight win streak comes to an end, and Márquez advances his win streak to 16. Márquez is now 37-3, and Vázquez 41-4.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Toshiaki Nishioka defeats Rafael Márquez via 12-round unanimous decision
  2. Juan Manuel López stops Rafael Márquez in the 8th round
  3. Israel Vázquez defeats Rafael Márquez via 12-round split decision in their 3rd fight
  4. Israel Vázquez knocks out Jorge Eliécer Julio in the 10th round
  5. Rafael Márquez knocks out Mark Johnson in the 8th round in their 2nd fight
  6. Rafael Márquez defeats Mark Johnson via 10-round split decision
  7. Israel Vázquez knocks out Óscar Larios in the 1st round