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Vargas vs. Castillejo: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Fernando Vargas (El Feroz) and Javier Castillejo (El Lince de Parla) are scheduled to meet in a bout on at the Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Illinois, U.S. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

27
Mar 25, 1997
25-2
9
22 (81.5%)
178 cm
178 cm
0 cm
Orthodox
Mar 26, 2005
4m, 25d
3
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
37
Jul 22, 1988
58-5
8
40 (63.5%)
180 cm
178 cm
-2 cm
Orthodox
Jun 11, 2004
1y, 2m, 9d
7
WBAIBF
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d5
WBC
sWL
w1
d5
Saturday, 20 Aug 2005
Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Illinois, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-28
Fernando Vargas vs. Javier Castillejo

Date

This fight between Fernando Vargas and Javier Castillejo took place on 20 August, 2005 at the Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Illinois, US.

Tale of the Tape

At 180 cm, Javier Castillejo is the taller of the two by 2 cms; Fernando Vargas is 178 cm. The fighters have the same reach of 178 cm. Vargas has a 2 cm ape index advantage over Castillejo.

Vargas is coming in to this fight with a record of 25-2 (22 KOs). His last fight was 4 months and 25 days ago against Raymond Joval, which he won via 10 round unanimous decision.

Castillejo comes in with a record of 58-5 (40 KOs). His last fight was 1 year, 2 months, and 9 days ago against Enrique Campos, which he won via 5th round TKO.

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Vargas will be 27 years and 8 months old. Castillejo will be 37 years and 4 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 51-49 in favor of Fernando Vargas. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Vargas vs Castillejo.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Fernando Vargas may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Castillejo stops Vargas early.

Result

Fernando Vargas defeated Javier Castillejo via 10 round UD. Castillejo's 7 fight win streak comes to an end, and Vargas advances his win streak to 4. Vargas is now 26-2, and Castillejo 58-6.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Oscar De La Hoya knocks out Fernando Vargas in the 11th round
  2. Oscar De La Hoya defeats Javier Castillejo via 12-round unanimous decision
  3. Fernando Vargas knocks out Wilfredo Rivera in the 6th round
  4. Félix Trinidad knocks out Fernando Vargas in the 12th round
  5. Fernando Vargas defeats Ike Quartey via 12-round unanimous decision
  6. Fernando Vargas defeats Winky Wright via 12-round majority decision
  7. Fernando Vargas knocks out Raúl Márquez in the 11th round