Canelo vs. Charlo: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

In an undisputed world title fight, Saúl Álvarez (Canelo) defends his super-middleweight WBA (Super), WBC, IBF, WBO, and The Ring belts against Jermell Charlo (Iron Man). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
33
Oct 29, 2005
59-2-2
23
39 (61.9%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
Orthodox
May 6, 2023
4m, 24d
2
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
33
Dec 8, 2007
35-1-1
9
19 (51.4%)
180 cm
185 cm
5 cm
Orthodox
May 14, 2022
1y, 4m, 16d
1
WBAWBCIBFWBOTheRing
lHV
w1
sMD
w2
d5
sMD
w1
d5
sMD
w1
d2
sMD
w1
d3
sMD
w1
d5
MD
w1
d1
MD
w2
d2
MD
w1
MD
w2
d3
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d6
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
WBAWBCIBFWBOTheRing
sWL
w1
d2
sWL
w2
d6
sWL
w1
d2
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d2
super-middleweight
Saturday, 30 Sep 2023
T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.7-beta 2023-09-28
Canelo Álvarez vs. Jermell Charlo
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Date

This fight between Canelo Álvarez and Jermell Charlo will take place on at the T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 180 cm, Jermell Charlo is the taller of the two by 7 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 185 cm, Charlo also has a good reach advantage of 6 cms over Canelo's 179 cm. Canelo has a 1 cm ape index advantage over Charlo.

Canelo is coming in to this fight with a record of 59-2-2 (39 KOs). His last fight was 4 months and 24 days ago against John Ryder, which he won via 12 round unanimous decision.

John Ryder's boxing career

Charlo comes in with a record of 35-1-1 (19 KOs). His last fight was 1 year, 4 months, and 16 days ago against Brian Castaño, which he won via 10th round KO.

Brian Castaño's boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Canelo will be 33 years and 2 months old. Charlo will be 33 years and 4 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 57-43 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Here is the prediction for Canelo vs Charlo.

The chances of Canelo Álvarez winning is higher, but Jermell Charlo cannot be counted out. Charlo could make it competitive, maybe even win.

Result

While we await the outcome of this fight, what is your prediction? Do you think Charlo can beat Canelo? How do you think he beats Canelo? Or will Canelo win?

Fight Recommendations

  1. Canelo Álvarez defeats Gennady Golovkin via 12-round unanimous decision in their 3rd fight
  2. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Caleb Plant in the 11th round
  3. Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
  4. Jermell Charlo knocks out Jeison Rosario in the 8th round
  5. Jermell Charlo knocks out Erickson Lubin in the 1st round
  6. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round
  7. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Alfonso Gómez in the 6th round