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Matías vs. Ponce: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Subriel Matías (Browny) and Jeremias Ponce (Jere) fight for the vacant IBF super-lightweight title. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

Subriel Matías vs. Jeremias Ponce
Subriel Matías vs. Jeremias Ponce


This fight between Subriel Matías and Jeremias Ponce took place on at the Armory, Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 175 cm, Jeremias Ponce is the taller of the two by 2 cms; Subriel Matías is 173 cm. Despite being the shorter fighter, Matías has a nice longer reach of 182 cm, which is 7 cms longer than Ponce's 175 cm. Matías also has a 9 cm ape index advantage over Ponce.

Matías is coming in to this fight with a record of 17-1 (17 KOs). His last fight was 1 year, 1 month, and 3 days ago against Petros Ananyan, which he won via 9th round RTD.

Ponce comes in with an undefeated record of 30-0 (20 KOs). His last fight was 10 months and 2 days ago against Achiko Odikadze, which he won via 3rd round TKO.

Subriel Matías fights out of the southpaw stance, while Jeremias Ponce fights out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Matías will be 30 years and 10 months old. Ponce will be 26 years and 7 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 54-46 in favor of Subriel Matías. Here is the prediction for Matías vs Ponce.

Subriel Matías is more likely to win, but Jeremias Ponce could also pull it off. It is going to be competitive, nevertheless.


Subriel Matías defeated Jeremias Ponce via 5th round RTD. Ponce's undefeated record of 30 wins comes to an end, and Matías advances his win streak to 3. Matías is now 18-1, and Ponce 30-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Subriel Matías stops Shohjahon Ergashev in the 5th round
  2. Jeremias Ponce knocks out Lewis Ritson in the 10th round
  3. Subriel Matias knocks out Breidis Prescott in the 4th round
  4. Subriel Matias knocks out Daulis Prescott in the 3rd round