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Golovkin vs. Canelo III: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

In an undisputed world title fight, Saúl Álvarez (Canelo) defends his super-middleweight WBA (Super), WBC, IBF, WBO, and The Ring belts against Gennadiy Golovkin (GGG). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
40
May 6, 2006
42-1-1
24
37 (84.1%)
179 cm
178 cm
-1 cm
Orthodox
Apr 9, 2022
5m, 8d
4
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
32
Oct 29, 2005
57-2-2
21
39 (63.9%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
Orthodox
May 7, 2022
4m, 10d
-1
WBAWBCIBF
MD
e1
w1
d19
MD
e1
d4
MD
w2
d6
WBAWBCIBFWBOTheRing
lHV
w1
sMD
w2
d3
sMD
w1
d3
sMD
w1
sMD
w1
d1
sMD
w1
d3
MD
w1
d1
MD
w2
d2
MD
w1
MD
w2
d3
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d6
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
super-middleweight
Saturday, 17 Sep 2022
T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-24
Gennady Golovkin vs. Canelo Álvarez III

Date

This fight between Gennady Golovkin and Canelo Álvarez took place on at the T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 179 cm, Gennady Golovkin is the taller of the two by 6 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Despite being the shorter fighter, Canelo has longer reach of 179 cm, which is 1 cm longer than Golovkin's 178 cm. Canelo also has a 7 cm ape index advantage over Golovkin.

Golovkin is coming in to this fight with a record of 42-1-1 (37 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 8 days ago against Ryōta Murata, which he won via 9th round TKO.

Ryōta Murata's boxing career

Canelo comes in with a record of 57-2-2 (39 KOs). His last fight was 4 months and 10 days ago against Dmitry Bivol, which he lost via 12 round unanimous decision.

Dmitry Bivol's boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Golovkin will be 40 years and 5 months old. Canelo will be 32 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 56-44 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Here is the prediction for Golovkin vs Canelo III.

The chances of Canelo Álvarez winning is higher, but Gennady Golovkin cannot be counted out. Golovkin could make it competitive, maybe even win.

Result

Canelo Álvarez defeated Gennady Golovkin via 12 round UD to retain the WBA (Super), WBC, IBF, WBO, and The Ring super-middleweight titles. Golovkin's 4 fight win streak comes to an end, and Canelo gets on a new winning streak. Canelo is now 58-2-2, and Golovkin 42-2-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Caleb Plant in the 11th round
  2. Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
  3. Gennady Golovkin knocks out Kell Brook in the 5th round
  4. Canelo Álvarez defeats Miguel Cotto via 12-round unanimous decision
  5. Gennadiy Golovkin knocks out Daniel Geale in the 3rd round
  6. Gennady Golovkin knocks out Grzegorz Proksa in the 5th round
  7. Gennady Golovkin knocks out Lajuan Simon in the 1st round