Canelo vs. Smith: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats
Saúl Álvarez (Canelo) challenges Callum Smith's (Mundo) WBA (Super) and The Ring super-middleweight belts. The winner also wins the vacant WBC super-middleweight belt. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.
| WBA | WBC | IBF | WBO | TheRing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| lHV w1 | ||||
| sMD w1 | ||||
| MD w1 d1 | MD w2 d2 | MD w1 | MD w2 d3 | |
| sWL w1 | sWL w1 d6 | sWL w1 | sWL w1 | |
| WBA | TheRing |
|---|---|
| sMD w1 d2 | sMD w1 d2 |
Date
This fight between Canelo Álvarez and Callum Smith took place on at the Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas, US.
Tale of the Tape
At 191 cm, Callum Smith is the taller of the two by 18 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 198 cm, Smith also has a significant reach advantage of 19 cms over Canelo's 179 cm. On top of that, Smith also has a 1 cm ape index advantage over Canelo.
Canelo is coming in to this fight with a record of 53-1-2 (36 KOs). His last fight was 1 year, 1 month, and 17 days ago against Sergey Kovalev, which he won via 11th round KO.
Smith comes in with an undefeated record of 27-0 (19 KOs). His last fight was 1 year and 26 days ago against John Ryder, which he won via 12 round unanimous decision.
Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.
On the day of the fight, Canelo will be 30 years and 5 months old. Smith will be 30 years and 7 months old.
Prediction and Odds
After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 51-49 in favor of Callum Smith. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Canelo vs Smith.
Result
Canelo Álvarez defeated Callum Smith via 12 round UD. Smith's undefeated record of 27 wins comes to an end, and Canelo advances his win streak to 5. Canelo is now 54-1-2, and Smith 27-1.
Fight Recommendations
- Canelo Álvarez knocks out Caleb Plant in the 11th round
- Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
- Canelo Álvarez knocks out Sergey Kovalev in the 11th round
- Callum Smith knocks out George Groves in the 7th round
- Canelo Álvarez defeats Gennady Golovkin via 12-round majority decision in their 2nd fight
- Canelo Álvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round
- Canelo Álvarez knocks out Alfonso Gómez in the 6th round