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Kovalev vs. Canelo: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Sergey Kovalev (Krusher) defends his WBO light-heavyweight title against Saúl Álvarez (Canelo). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

36
Jul 25, 2009
34-3-1
16
29 (76.3%)
183 cm
184 cm
1 cm
Orthodox
Aug 24, 2019
2m, 9d
2
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
29
Oct 29, 2005
52-1-2
15
35 (63.6%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
Orthodox
May 4, 2019
5m, 29d
3
WBAIBFWBO
lHV
w1
d4
lHV
w1
d4
lHV
w3
d10
WBAWBCIBFWBOTheRing
sMD
w1
MD
w1
d1
MD
w2
d2
MD
w1
MD
w2
d3
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d6
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
light-heavyweight
Saturday, 2 Nov 2019
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-03-03
Sergey Kovalev vs. Canelo Álvarez

Date

This fight between Sergey Kovalev and Canelo Álvarez took place on at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 183 cm, Sergey Kovalev is the taller of the two by 10 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 184 cm, Kovalev also has reach advantage of 5 cms over Canelo's 179 cm. Canelo has a 5 cm ape index advantage over Kovalev.

Kovalev is coming in to this fight with a record of 34-3-1 (29 KOs). His last fight was 2 months and 9 days ago against Anthony Yarde, which he won via 11th round TKO.

Anthony Yarde's boxing career

Canelo comes in with a record of 52-1-2 (35 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 29 days ago against Daniel Jacobs, which he won via 12 round unanimous decision.

Daniel Jacobs' boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Kovalev will be 36 years and 7 months old. Canelo will be 29 years and 3 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 51-49 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Kovalev vs Canelo.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Canelo Álvarez may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Kovalev stops Álvarez early.

Result

Canelo Álvarez defeated Sergey Kovalev via 11th round KO to win the WBO light-heavyweight title. Kovalev's 2 fight win streak comes to an end, and Canelo advances his win streak to 4. Canelo is now 53-1-2, and Kovalev 34-4-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Caleb Plant in the 11th round
  2. Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
  3. Sergey Kovalev knocks out Anthony Yarde in the 11th round
  4. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Rocky Fielding in the 3rd round
  5. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round
  6. Canelo Álvarez defeats Miguel Cotto via 12-round unanimous decision
  7. Sergey Kovalev knocks out Nathan Cleverly in the 4th round