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Lara vs. Castaño: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Erislandy Lara (The American Dream) challenges Brian Castaño's (El Boxi) WBA (Regular) super-welterweight belt. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

35
Jul 4, 2008
25-3-2
7
14 (46.7%)
175 cm
192 cm
17 cm
Southpaw
Apr 7, 2018
10m, 23d
-1
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
29
Sep 22, 2012
15-0
1
11 (73.3%)
171 cm
170 cm
-1 cm
Orthodox
Mar 10, 2018
11m, 20d
15
WBA
sWL
e1
d6
WBA
sWL
e1
d1
super-welterweight
Saturday, 2 Mar 2019
Barclays Center, New York City, New York, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-05-21
Erislandy Lara vs. Brian Castaño

Date

This fight between Erislandy Lara and Brian Castaño took place on at the Barclays Center, New York City, New York, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 175 cm, Erislandy Lara is the taller of the two by 4 cms; Brian Castaño is 171 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 192 cm, Lara also has a huge reach advantage of 22 cms over Castaño's 170 cm. On top of that, Lara also has a 18 cm ape index advantage over Castaño.

Lara is coming in to this fight with a record of 25-3-2 (14 KOs). His last fight was 10 months and 23 days ago against Jarrett Hurd, which he lost via 12 round split decision.

Jarrett Hurd's boxing career

Castaño comes in with an undefeated record of 15-0 (11 KOs). His last fight was 11 months and 20 days ago against Cédric Vitu, which he won via 12th round TKO.

Erislandy Lara fights out of the southpaw stance, while Brian Castaño fights out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Lara will be 35 years and 10 months old. Castaño will be 29 years and 5 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at a rare 50-50 for both the fighters — either fighter could win this fight with equal probability. Here is the prediction for Lara vs Castaño.

Looks like this is going to be a very close fight, either could win. Maybe Erislandy Lara wins?

Result

The fight ended in a 12 round draw. Both the boxers retained their titles and added a draw to their respective records. Castaño is now 15-0-1, and Lara 25-3-3.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Erislandy Lara knocks out Gary O'Sullivan in the 8th round
  2. Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castaño I
  3. Brian Castaño defeats Patrick Teixeira via 12-round unanimous decision
  4. Erislandy Lara defeats Terrell Gausha via 12-round unanimous decision
  5. Erislandy Lara knocks out Jan Zaveck in the 3rd round
  6. Canelo Álvarez defeats Erislandy Lara via 12-round split decision
  7. Erislandy Lara knocks out Alfredo Angulo in the 10th round