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Vargas vs. Berchelt: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Francisco Vargas (El Bandido) defends his WBC super-featherweight title against Miguel Berchelt (El Alacrán). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

32
Mar 12, 2010
23-0-2
2
17 (68%)
173 cm
178 cm
5 cm
Orthodox
Jun 4, 2016
7m, 24d
0
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
25
Nov 17, 2010
30-1
0
27 (87.1%)
170 cm
182 cm
12 cm
Orthodox
Jul 16, 2016
6m, 12d
9
WBC
sFT
w1
d1
super-featherweight
Saturday, 28 Jan 2017
Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio, California, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-03-28
Francisco Vargas vs. Miguel Berchelt I

Date

This fight between Francisco Vargas and Miguel Berchelt took place on at the Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio, California, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 173 cm, Francisco Vargas is the taller of the two by 3 cms; Miguel Berchelt is 170 cm. Despite being the shorter fighter, Berchelt has longer reach of 182 cm, which is 4 cms longer than Vargas' 178 cm. Berchelt also has a 7 cm ape index advantage over Vargas.

Vargas is coming in to this fight with an undefeated record of 23-0-2 (17 KOs). His last fight was 7 months and 24 days ago against Orlando Salido, which ended in a draw.

Orlando Salido's boxing career

Berchelt comes in with a record of 30-1 (27 KOs). His last fight was 6 months and 12 days ago against Chonlatarn Piriyapinyo, which he won via 4th round KO.

Chonlatarn Piriyapinyo's boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Vargas will be 32 years and 1 month old. Berchelt will be 25 years and 2 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Miguel Berchelt. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Vargas vs Berchelt.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Miguel Berchelt may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Vargas stops Berchelt early.

Result

Miguel Berchelt defeated Francisco Vargas via 11th round KO. Vargas' undefeated record comes to an end, and Berchelt advances his win streak to 10. Berchelt is now 31-1, and Vargas 23-1-2.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Miguel Berchelt knocks out Jason Sosa in the 4th round
  2. Miguel Berchelt stops Francisco Vargas in the 6th round in their 2nd fight
  3. Francisco Vargas stops Rod Salka in the 6th round
  4. Miguel Berchelt defeats Takashi Miura via 12-round unanimous decision
  5. Orlando Salido vs. Francisco Vargas
  6. Francisco Vargas knocks out Takashi Miura in the 9th round
  7. Francisco Vargas stops Juan Manuel López in the 3rd round