Smith vs. Canelo: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Liam Smith (Beefy) challenges Canelo Álvarez' (Canelo) WBO super-welterweight belt. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

28
Oct 10, 2008
23-0-1
126
13 (54.2%)
177 cm
176 cm
-1 cm
Orthodox
105 days
18
Age
Debut
Record
Rounds
KOs
Height
Reach
apeIndex
Stance
Lay Off
winStreak
26
Oct 29, 2005
47-1-1
331
33 (67.3%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
Orthodox
133 days
5
WBO
sWL
w1
d2
WBAWBCTheRing
MD
w1
d1
MD
w1
d1
sWL
w1
d0
sWL
w1
d6
sWL
w1
d0
super-welterweight
Saturday, 17 Sep 2016
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas, U.S.
v0.1.3-beta 2023-03-31
Smith vs. Canelo

Date

This fight between Liam Smith and Canelo Álvarez took place on at the AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 177 cm, Liam Smith is the taller of the two by 4 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Despite being the shorter fighter, Canelo has longer reach of 179 cm, which is 3 cms longer than Smith's 176 cm. Canelo also has a 7 cm ape index advantage over Smith.

Smith is coming in to this fight with an undefeated record of 23-0-1 (13 KOs). His last fight was 3 months and 13 days ago against Predrag Radošević, which he won via 2nd round KO.

Canelo comes in with a record of 47-1-1 (33 KOs). His last fight was 4 months and 10 days ago against Amir Khan, which he won via 6th round KO.

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Smith will be 28 years and 1 month old. Canelo will be 26 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 51-49 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Smith vs. Canelo.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Canelo Álvarez may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless something crazy happens.

Result

Canelo Álvarez defeated Liam Smith via 9th round KO to win the WBO super-welterweight title. Smith's undefeated record comes to an end, and Canelo advances his win streak to 6. Canelo is now 48-1-1, and Smith 23-1-1.

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