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Smith vs. Kelly: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Liam Smith (Beefy) defends his WBO super-welterweight title against Jimmy Kelly (Kilrain). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

Oct 10, 2008
11 (50%)
177 cm
176 cm
-1 cm
Oct 10, 2015
2m, 9d
Title Fights
Ape Index
Last Fight
Win Streak
Mar 2, 2012
7 (43.8%)
183 cm
183 cm
0 cm
Oct 10, 2015
2m, 9d
Saturday, 19 Dec 2015
Manchester Arena, Manchester, England
v0.1.9-beta 2024-03-03
Liam Smith vs. Jimmy Kelly


This fight between Liam Smith and Jimmy Kelly took place on at the Manchester Arena, Manchester.

Tale of the Tape

At 183 cm, Jimmy Kelly is the taller of the two by 6 cms; Liam Smith is 177 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 183 cm, Kelly also has a good reach advantage of 7 cms over Smith's 176 cm. On top of that, Kelly also has a 1 cm ape index advantage over Smith.

Smith is coming in to this fight with an undefeated record of 21-0-1 (11 KOs). His last fight was 2 months and 9 days ago against John Thompson, which he won via 7th round TKO.

Kelly also comes in with an undefeated record of 16-0 (7 KOs). His last fight was 2 months and 9 days ago against Martin Fidel Rios, which he won via 10 round unanimous decision.

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Smith will be 27 years and 4 months old. Kelly will be 23 years and 3 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Liam Smith. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Smith vs Kelly.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Liam Smith may have a slighly better chance of winning ā€” unless Kelly stops Smith early.


Liam Smith defeated Jimmy Kelly via 7th round TKO. Kelly's undefeated record of 16 wins comes to an end, and Smith advances his win streak to 17. Smith is now 22-0-1, and Kelly 16-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Liam Smith knocks out Chris Eubank Jr. in the 4th round
  2. Jaime MunguĆ­a knocks out Jimmy Kelly in the 5th round
  3. Liam Smith knocks out Jessie Vargas in the 10th round
  4. Liam Smith knocks out Anthony Fowler in the 8th round
  5. Jaime MunguĆ­a defeats Liam Smith via 12-round unanimous decision
  6. Liam Smith defeats Liam Williams via 12-round majority decision in their 2nd fight
  7. Canelo Ɓlvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round