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Cotto vs. Canelo: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Miguel Cotto (Junito) defends his The Ring middleweight title against Saúl Álvarez (Canelo). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
35
Feb 23, 2001
40-4
23
33 (75%)
170 cm
170 cm
0 cm
Orthodox
Jun 6, 2015
5m, 15d
3
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
25
Oct 29, 2005
45-1-1
8
32 (68.1%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
Orthodox
May 9, 2015
6m, 12d
3
WBAWBCWBOTheRing
MD
w1
d1
MD
w1
d1
sWL
w1
d2
WL
w1
d4
WL
w1
d1
sLT
w1
d6
WBAWBCTheRing
sWL
w1
sWL
w1
d6
sWL
w1
middleweight
Saturday, 21 Nov 2015
Mandalay Bay Events Center, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-07-27
Miguel Cotto vs. Canelo Álvarez

Date

This fight between Miguel Cotto and Canelo Álvarez took place on at the Mandalay Bay Events Center, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 173 cm, Canelo Álvarez is the taller of the two by 3 cms; Miguel Cotto is 170 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 179 cm, Canelo also has a good reach advantage of 9 cms over Cotto's 170 cm. On top of that, Canelo also has a 6 cm ape index advantage over Cotto.

Cotto is coming in to this fight with a record of 40-4 (33 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 15 days ago against Daniel Geale, which he won via 4th round TKO.

Daniel Geale's boxing career

Canelo comes in with a record of 45-1-1 (32 KOs). His last fight was 6 months and 12 days ago against James Kirkland, which he won via 3rd round KO.

James Kirkland's boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Cotto will be 35 years old. Canelo will be 25 years and 4 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Cotto vs Canelo.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Canelo Álvarez may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Cotto stops Álvarez early.

Result

Canelo Álvarez defeated Miguel Cotto via 12 round UD to win the vacant WBC and The Ring middleweight titles. Cotto's 3 fight win streak comes to an end, and Canelo advances his win streak to 4. Canelo is now 46-1-1, and Cotto 40-5.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
  2. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Sergey Kovalev in the 11th round
  3. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Rocky Fielding in the 3rd round
  4. Canelo Álvarez defeats Gennady Golovkin via 12-round majority decision in their 2nd fight
  5. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round
  6. Miguel Cotto knocks out Zab Judah in the 11th round
  7. Miguel Cotto knocks out DeMarcus Corley in the 5th round