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Canelo vs. Lopez: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Saúl Álvarez (Canelo) defends his WBC super-welterweight title against Josesito Lopez (Riverside Rocky). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

Oct 29, 2005
29 (70.7%)
173 cm
179 cm
6 cm
May 5, 2012
4m, 10d
Title Fights
Ape Index
Last Fight
Win Streak
Feb 8, 2003
18 (52.9%)
175 cm
183 cm
8 cm
Jun 23, 2012
2m, 23d
Saturday, 15 Sep 2012
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-03-03
Canelo Álvarez vs. Josesito Lopez


This fight between Canelo Álvarez and Josesito Lopez took place on at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 175 cm, Josesito Lopez is the taller of the two by 2 cms; Canelo Álvarez is 173 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 183 cm, Lopez also has reach advantage of 4 cms over Canelo's 179 cm. On top of that, Lopez also has a 2 cm ape index advantage over Canelo.

Canelo is coming in to this fight with an undefeated record of 40-0-1 (29 KOs). His last fight was 4 months and 10 days ago against Shane Mosley, which he won via 12 round unanimous decision.

Shane Mosley's boxing career

Lopez comes in with a record of 30-4 (18 KOs). His last fight was 2 months and 23 days ago against Victor Ortiz, which he won via 9th round RTD.

Victor Ortiz' boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Canelo will be 22 years and 1 month old. Lopez will be 28 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 65-35 in favor of Canelo Álvarez. Here is the prediction for Canelo vs Lopez.

Canelo Álvarez is very likely to win this fight. It is going to be hard for Josesito Lopez to win this one.


Canelo Álvarez defeated Josesito Lopez via 5th round TKO to retain the WBC super-welterweight title. Lopez' 1 fight win streak comes to an end, and Canelo advances his win streak to 37. Canelo is now 41-0-1, and Lopez 30-5.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Caleb Plant in the 11th round
  2. Canelo Álvarez stops Billy Joe Saunders in the 8th round
  3. Canelo Álvarez defeats Daniel Jacobs via 12-round unanimous decision
  4. Canelo Álvarez defeats Gennady Golovkin via 12-round majority decision in their 2nd fight
  5. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Liam Smith in the 9th round
  6. Canelo Álvarez defeats Miguel Cotto via 12-round unanimous decision
  7. Canelo Álvarez knocks out Alfonso Gómez in the 6th round