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Pacquiao vs. Márquez III: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Manny Pacquiao (Pac-Man) defends his WBO welterweight title against Juan Manuel Márquez (Dinamita). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
32
Jan 22, 1995
53-3-2
17
38 (65.5%)
168 cm
170 cm
2 cm
Southpaw
May 7, 2011
6m, 5d
14
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
38
May 29, 1993
53-5-1
14
39 (66.1%)
170 cm
170 cm
0 cm
Orthodox
Jul 16, 2011
3m, 27d
3
WBCIBFWBOTheRing
sWL
w1
WL
w1
d2
sLT
w1
LT
w1
sFT
w1
sFT
w1
FT
w1
d2
sBT
w1
d4
FL
w1
d1
WBAWBCIBFWBOTheRing
LT
w1
d2
LT
w1
d2
LT
w1
d3
sFT
w1
d1
FT
w1
d3
FT
w1
d4
welterweight
Saturday, 12 Nov 2011
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-15
Manny Pacquiao vs. Juan Manuel Márquez III

Date

This fight between Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Márquez took place on at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 170 cm, Juan Manuel Márquez is the taller of the two by 2 cms; Manny Pacquiao is 168 cm. The fighters have the same reach of 170 cm. Pacquiao has a 2 cm ape index advantage over Márquez.

Pacquiao is coming in to this fight with a record of 53-3-2 (38 KOs). His last fight was 6 months and 5 days ago against Shane Mosley, which he won via 12 round unanimous decision.

Shane Mosley's boxing career

Márquez comes in with a record of 53-5-1 (39 KOs). His last fight was 3 months and 27 days ago against Likar Ramos Concha, which he won via 1st round KO.

Likar Ramos Concha's boxing career

Manny Pacquiao fights out of the southpaw stance, while Juan Manuel Márquez fights out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Pacquiao will be 32 years and 10 months old. Márquez will be 38 years and 2 months old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Manny Pacquiao. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Pacquiao vs Márquez III.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Manny Pacquiao may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Márquez stops Pacquiao early.

Result

Manny Pacquiao defeated Juan Manuel Márquez via 12 round MD. Márquez' 3 fight win streak comes to an end, and Pacquiao advances his win streak to 15. Pacquiao is now 54-3-2, and Márquez 53-6-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Manny Pacquiao knocks out Miguel Cotto in the 12th round
  2. Juan Manuel Márquez knocks out Joel Casamayor in the 11th round
  3. Juan Manuel Márquez defeats Marco Antonio Barrera via 12-round unanimous decision
  4. Manny Pacquiao knocks out Érik Morales in the 10th round in their 2nd fight
  5. Manny Pacquiao knocks out Marco Antonio Barrera in the 11th round
  6. Manny Pacquiao knocks out Lehlo Ledwaba in the 6th round
  7. Manny Pacquiao knocks out Chatchai Sasakul in the 8th round