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Mthalane vs. Casimero: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Moruti Mthalane (Babyface) defends his IBF flyweight title against John Riel Casimero (Quadro Alas). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
28
Dec 10, 2000
26-2
3
17 (60.7%)
166 cm
169 cm
3 cm
Orthodox
Sep 1, 2010
6m, 25d
3
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
22
Jun 3, 2007
14-1
0
8 (53.3%)
163 cm
163 cm
0 cm
Orthodox
Jul 24, 2010
8m, 2d
-1
IBF
FL
w1
d1
flyweight
Saturday, 26 Mar 2011
Nasrec Indoor Arena, Johannesburg, South Africa
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-26
Moruti Mthalane vs. John Riel Casimero

Date

This fight between Moruti Mthalane and John Riel Casimero took place on at the Nasrec Indoor Arena, Johannesburg, South Africa.

Tale of the Tape

At 166 cm, Moruti Mthalane is the taller of the two by 3 cms; John Riel Casimero is 163 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 169 cm, Mthalane also has a good reach advantage of 6 cms over Casimero's 163 cm. On top of that, Mthalane also has a 3 cm ape index advantage over Casimero.

Mthalane is coming in to this fight with a record of 26-2 (17 KOs). His last fight was 6 months and 25 days ago against Zolani Tete, which he won via 5th round TKO.

Zolani Tete's boxing career

Casimero comes in with a record of 14-1 (8 KOs). His last fight was 8 months and 2 days ago against Ramón García Hirales, which he lost via 12 round split decision.

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Mthalane will be 28 years and 5 months old. Casimero will be 22 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Moruti Mthalane. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Mthalane vs Casimero.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Moruti Mthalane may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Casimero stops Mthalane early.

Result

Moruti Mthalane defeated John Riel Casimero via 5th round TKO. Casimero's losing streak continues, and Mthalane advances his win streak to 4. Mthalane is now 27-2, and Casimero 14-2.

Fight Recommendations

  1. John Riel Casimero defeats Guillermo Rigondeaux via 12-round split decision
  2. John Riel Casimero knocks out Duke Micah in the 3rd round
  3. John Riel Casimero knocks out Zolani Tete in the 3rd round
  4. Moruti Mthalane defeats Muhammad Waseem via 12-round unanimous decision
  5. Johnriel Casimero knocks out Charlie Edwards in the 10th round
  6. John Riel Casimero knocks out Amnat Ruenroeng in the 4th round in their 2nd fight
  7. John Riel Casimero defeats Pedro Guevara via 12-round split decision