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Casamayor vs. Márquez: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Joel Casamayor (El Cepillo) defends his The Ring lightweight title against Juan Manuel Márquez (Dinamita). Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

37
Sep 20, 1996
36-3-1
11
22 (55%)
170 cm
175 cm
5 cm
Southpaw
Mar 22, 2008
5m, 22d
5
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
35
May 29, 1993
48-4-1
10
35 (66%)
170 cm
170 cm
0 cm
Orthodox
Mar 15, 2008
5m, 29d
-1
WBAWBCTheRing
LT
w1
LT
e1
d2
sFT
w1
d4
WBAWBCIBF
sFT
w1
d1
FT
w1
d3
FT
w1
d4
lightweight
Saturday, 13 Sep 2008
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-29
Joel Casamayor vs. Juan Manuel Márquez

Date

This fight between Joel Casamayor and Juan Manuel Márquez took place on at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 170 cm, both the fighters are of the same height. Despite being of the same height, Casamayor has longer reach of 175 cm, which is 5 cms longer than Márquez' 170 cm. Casamayor also has a 5 cm ape index advantage over Márquez.

Casamayor is coming in to this fight with a record of 36-3-1 (22 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 22 days ago against Michael Katsidis, which he won via 10th round TKO.

Michael Katsidis' boxing career

Márquez comes in with a record of 48-4-1 (35 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 29 days ago against Manny Pacquiao, which he lost via 12 round split decision.

Manny Pacquiao's boxing career

Joel Casamayor fights out of the southpaw stance, while Juan Manuel Márquez fights out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Casamayor will be 37 years and 2 months old. Márquez will be 35 years old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of Juan Manuel Márquez. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Casamayor vs Márquez.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Juan Manuel Márquez may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Casamayor stops Márquez early.

Result

Juan Manuel Márquez defeated Joel Casamayor via 11th round TKO. Casamayor's 5 fight win streak comes to an end, and Márquez gets on a new winning streak. Márquez is now 49-4-1, and Casamayor 36-4-1.

Fight Recommendations

  1. Timothy Bradley defeats Juan Manuel Márquez via 12-round split decision
  2. Juan Manuel Márquez knocks out Michael Katsidis in the 9th round
  3. Juan Manuel Márquez defeats Juan Díaz via 12-round unanimous decision in their 2nd fight
  4. Juan Manuel Márquez knocks out Juan Díaz in the 9th round
  5. Joel Casamayor knocks out Michael Katsidis in the 10th round
  6. Joel Casamayor defeats Diego Corrales via 12-round split decision in their 3rd fight
  7. Acelino Freitas defeats Joel Casamayor via 12-round unanimous decision