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Morales vs. Díaz: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

Érik Morales (El Terrible) challenges David Díaz' (Dangerous) WBC lightweight belt. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
30
Mar 29, 1993
48-5
19
34 (64.2%)
173 cm
183 cm
10 cm
Orthodox
Nov 18, 2006
8m, 17d
-3
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
31
Nov 30, 1996
32-1-1
0
17 (50%)
168 cm
175 cm
7 cm
Southpaw
Aug 12, 2006
11m, 23d
3
WBCIBFWBO
sFT
w1
d1
sFT
w1
FT
w2
d3
sBT
w1
d9
sBT
w1
lightweight
Saturday, 4 Aug 2007
Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Illinois, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-26
Érik Morales vs. David Díaz

Date

This fight between Érik Morales and David Díaz took place on at the Allstate Arena, Rosemont, Illinois, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 173 cm, Érik Morales is the taller of the two by 5 cms; David Díaz is 168 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 183 cm, Morales also has a good reach advantage of 8 cms over Díaz' 175 cm. On top of that, Morales also has a 3 cm ape index advantage over Díaz.

Morales is coming in to this fight with a record of 48-5 (34 KOs). His last fight was 8 months and 17 days ago against Manny Pacquiao, which he lost via 3rd round KO.

Manny Pacquiao's boxing career

Díaz comes in with a record of 32-1-1 (17 KOs). His last fight was 11 months and 23 days ago against José Santa Cruz, which he won via 10th round TKO.

Érik Morales fights out of the orthodox stance, while David Díaz fights out of the southpaw stance.

On the day of the fight, Morales will be 30 years and 11 months old. Díaz will be 31 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 51-49 in favor of Érik Morales. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Morales vs Díaz.

A very close matchup, could go either way. Érik Morales may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Díaz stops Morales early.

Result

David Díaz defeated Érik Morales via 12 round UD to retain the WBC lightweight title. Morales' losing streak continues, and Díaz advances his win streak to 4. Díaz is now 33-1-1, and Morales 48-6.

Fight Recommendations

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  4. Marco Antonio Barrera defeats Érik Morales via 12-round unanimous decision in their 2nd fight
  5. Érik Morales knocks out Kevin Kelley in the 7th round
  6. Érik Morales defeats Marco Antonio Barrera via 12-round split decision
  7. Érik Morales knocks out Junior Jones in the 4th round