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Castillo vs. Mayweather Jr: Prediction, Odds, Date, Stats

José Luis Castillo (El Temible) defends his WBC lightweight title against Floyd Mayweather Jr. (Money). The winner also wins the vacant Ring Magazine lightweight title. Let's take a look at the stats, odds of winning, and the prediction for this fight.

vs
28
May 4, 1990
45-4-1
4
41 (82%)
171 cm
175 cm
4 cm
Orthodox
Jan 25, 2002
2m, 26d
4
Age
Debut
Record
Title Fights
KOs
Height
Reach
Ape Index
Stance
Last Fight
Layoff
Win Streak
25
Oct 11, 1996
27-0
9
20 (74.1%)
173 cm
183 cm
10 cm
Orthodox
Nov 10, 2001
5m, 10d
27
WBC
LT
w1
d3
WBC
sFT
w1
d8
lightweight
Saturday, 20 Apr 2002
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.
v0.1.9-beta 2024-04-25
José Luis Castillo vs. Floyd Mayweather Jr. I

Date

This fight between José Luis Castillo and Floyd Mayweather Jr. took place on at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

Tale of the Tape

At 173 cm, Floyd Mayweather Jr. is the taller of the two by 2 cms; José Luis Castillo is 171 cm. Besides being the taller fighter, with a reach of 183 cm, Mayweather Jr. also has a good reach advantage of 8 cms over Castillo's 175 cm. On top of that, Mayweather Jr. also has a 6 cm ape index advantage over Castillo.

Castillo is coming in to this fight with a record of 45-4-1 (41 KOs). His last fight was 2 months and 26 days ago against Juan Angel Macias, which he won via 8th round TKO.

Mayweather Jr. comes in with an undefeated record of 27-0 (20 KOs). His last fight was 5 months and 10 days ago against Jesús Chávez, which he won via 9th round RTD.

Jesús Chávez' boxing career

Both the fighters fight out of the orthodox stance.

On the day of the fight, Castillo will be 28 years and 4 months old. Mayweather Jr. will be 25 years and 1 month old.

Prediction and Odds

[ Early Beta ]

After considering the both the fighters' stats and their performance patterns, the winning odds is calculated to be at 52-48 in favor of José Luis Castillo. Note, this is a very close margin, just barely better than a 50-50 case. Here is the prediction for Castillo vs Mayweather Jr.

A very close matchup, could go either way. José Luis Castillo may have a slighly better chance of winning — unless Mayweather Jr. stops Castillo early.

Result

Floyd Mayweather Jr. defeated José Luis Castillo via 12 round UD to win the WBC and vacant The Ring lightweight titles. Castillo's 4 fight win streak comes to an end, and Mayweather Jr. advances his win streak to 28. Mayweather Jr. is now 28-0, and Castillo 45-5-1.

Fight Recommendations

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  3. Floyd Mayweather Jr. defeats Oscar De La Hoya via 12-round split decision
  4. Floyd Mayweather Jr. defeats Zab Judah via 12-round unanimous decision
  5. Floyd Mayweather Jr. stops Arturo Gatti in the 6th round
  6. Floyd Mayweather Jr. knocks out Diego Corrales in the 10th round
  7. Floyd Mayweather Jr. knocks out Angel Manfredy in the 2nd round